北斗 · seven stars, one bearing
The seven
A strategy walks the first four stars in order — measured, tried, graded, auditioned — and any one of them can end it. The last three are not gates. They apply to everything that got through, for as long as it keeps trading.
The graveyard
A promotion funnel is only meaningful if things actually die in it. These did, with the measurement that killed them.
Everything above was built, measured and thrown away. The list is longer than the list of what runs.
Live record
Account size and dollar figures are not published. When the capital base moves, only a percentage stays honest.
Waiting for the exchange feed.
Research
A signal-quality metric separated winners from losers cleanly across thirty live trades. Split by engine, the effect disappeared: it had been measuring which engine traded, not which signal was good. Simpson's paradox, one day from reaching the sizing logic.
The backtest armed protection the moment price touched a level. The live module sampled price on an interval, so a wick that crossed and bounced between two samples was forgotten entirely. The policy was sound; the implementation was less faithful than the test that authorised it.
Positions net per market on-chain. When one strategy opened against another's live position, the exchange resolved the conflict silently and one engine's trade simply ceased to exist — while its stop order remained, sized for a position that was no longer there.
What we don't claim
The record is short. It starts on — and a short record is not evidence, no matter how well it is presented. Read it as a sample, not as a result.
A losing month is expected. When one arrives it will be published here, in the same place and at the same size as the gains, because a record that only shows the good periods is a brochure.
Anyone promising steady returns is selling something. Perpetual futures do not produce steady returns. They produce a distribution with a real tail, and the tail arrives on its own schedule.
We publish no account size and no dollars. The unit on this page is percent of capital, and every figure on it is read from exchange fills. If a number cannot be sourced there, it is shown as an em dash.
Past performance measures the past. It is not a forecast, and nothing on this page should be read as one.
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